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Chockstone Forum - Accidents & Injuries
Report Accidents and Injuries
Topic
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Date |
User
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Risk of dying whilst climbing is 1 in a million |
24-Jun-2014 At 3:20:54 PM |
Ben_E
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Message |
On 24/06/2014 Reluctant wrote:
>So if I climb for 5 days 6 hrs = 30 hrs = 36000 sec
>Per 90 sec => 4:10000 => 1:2500
>By extension Easter at araps 100 climbers = 1 in 25 chance of a death.
>At those odds should have a trauma medical tent and rescue team set up
>there all Easter.
That calculation would be ballpark consistent with John Dill's (probably outdated) analysis of accidents in Yosemite, which would place the odds of dying at about 1 death per every 10,000-20,000 days climbing. Obviously the odds of just breaking an ankle or injuring yourself more generally are much higher, as ODH points out.
http://jrre.org/stayalive.pdf |
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