Chockstone Forum

      Sponsored By
      ROCK
   HARDWARE

Chockstone Photography

Australian Landscape Prints

Chockstone Forum - General Discussion

General Climbing Discussion

Topic Date User

The most dangerous time of your life!!? 16-Mar-2012 At 5:13:51 PM billk

Message

On 16/03/2012 Nick C wrote:
>The nature of climbing is such that one small lapse of concentration or
>one chance event can mean game over. If you have been climbing for 30 years
>the odds have got to catch up with you.
>

I don't reckon it really works quite like that. Whether you have been climbing one year or thirty, it is the odds of game over within the next year that matter. It's not like you have a quota of "get out of jail free" cards which you use up as you turn into an old fart.

You could count up the number of deaths in a number of age ranges, plus count up the number of people in those age ranges climbing. I would predict you wouldn't find a big age effect. (Remember, the deaths listed on this thread were selected on the basis of looking for deaths within a particular age range.)

You could also count up the number of deaths among people within different experience ranges (ie: number of years climbing). You would probably be more likely to find something there.

Any epidemiologists on Chocky want to write an NHMRC application?